Research/Terra/ 918547
Task evidence / spatial-analysis

GDP in earthquake-affected countries

PassComputational taskUnpublished draft
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The question

918547
What is the average GDP per capita in 2020 for countries that experienced earthquakes in the last 30 days?
Exact submitted task and declared adaptations
What is the average GDP per capita in 2020 for countries that experienced earthquakes in the last 30 days?

Task conventions: Last 30 days means all records of the supplied earthquake file, not today's date: the frozen snapshot labelled Feb142025 actually contains UTC times 2025-01-16 through 2025-02-15. A country qualifies if its original polygon strictly contains at least one event point. Boundary/offshore events do not qualify. Use WDI NY.GDP.PCAP.CD 2020 in current US dollars per capita and an unweighted country mean, counting each qualifying country once. Match ISO_A3 to Country Code. Missing GDP is excluded from the mean and separately reported, never replaced with zero. Maps are optional.



Produce an inspectable contributing-country artifact with 2020 GDP, original geometry and benchmark_row_id. End with one fenced JSON object: {count: contributing countries with known GDP, unknown_count: qualifying countries missing GDP, coverage_note: string, selection: {collectionId, itemId, assetKey}, metrics: {mean: number}, value_field: name_of_GDP_column_in_selection}. Explain the average and units in prose.

Delivery format: provide the answer object with all fields specified above as final_response on assess_result, alongside the inspected final artifact_refs. This replaces the JSON-code-block formatting requirement above. Blue attaches your explicit selection to the accepted final answer. Finish with a concise ordinary-language answer agreeing with that selected result; do not duplicate the JSON in chat.

Supplied immutable inputs:
[
  {
    "name": "World Bank country boundaries",
    "edition": "GeoBenchX harmonized names",
    "units": {},
    "collectionId": "blue-generated--[resource id withheld]",
    "itemId": "[resource id withheld]",
    "assetKey": "data"
  },
  {
    "name": "Earthquake points, frozen 30-day snapshot",
    "edition": "Archive labelled Feb142025; observed event timestamps 2025-01-16 through 2025-02-15 UTC",
    "units": {},
    "collectionId": "blue-generated--[resource id withheld]",
    "itemId": "[resource id withheld]",
    "assetKey": "data"
  },
  {
    "name": "GDP per capita",
    "edition": "Frozen WDI; current US dollars by year",
    "units": {
      "2023": "current USD per capita",
      "2020": "current USD per capita",
      "2022": "current USD per capita"
    },
    "collectionId": "blue-generated--[resource id withheld]",
    "itemId": "[resource id withheld]",
    "assetKey": "data"
  }
]

Outcome & verification

Independent artifact and delivery checks passed.

Duration
16m 14s
Recorded Blue tool calls
46
Total tokens
2,747,993
Model cost
Not recorded
Application revision
d50497ea9084f29c91b05406688f87035df98d8a
Release
terra-geobenchx-v1

Recorded final answer

Using the supplied USGS earthquake snapshot, the supplied GeoBenchX-harmonized World Bank country boundaries, and the supplied frozen World Bank WDI GDP series `NY.GDP.PCAP.CD` for 2020, I found 45 qualifying countries under the strict containment rule. All 45 had known 2020 GDP per capita, so none were excluded for missing GDP. The unweighted average was **$11,865.51 per capita** in **current US dollars**. ### Limitations - Qualification follows the supplied boundary edition and strict interior containment rule; offshore and boundary-only events are excluded, not reassigned. - Country qualification follows the supplied GeoBenchX harmonized World Bank boundary edition and a strict interior containment rule; offshore and boundary-only events are excluded, not reassigned. - Countries qualify only when a supplied earthquake point lies strictly inside the supplied original polygon. - Country definitions follow the supplied boundary edition. - GDP values come from the supplied WDI 2020 current-USD-per-capita field.

Independent checks

These checks are separate from the agent's own assessment. A successful job or an assertion of success is not enough to pass.

Expected count
45
Reported count
45
Computation verified
Yes
Answer fulfilled
Yes
Full grading and rubric record
{
  "expectedCount": 45,
  "actualCount": 45,
  "expectedMetrics": {
    "mean": 11865.506089717981
  },
  "actualMetrics": {
    "mean": 11865.506089717977
  },
  "computationCorrect": true,
  "answerFulfilled": true,
  "adjudication": null,
  "qualification": null,
  "reasons": []
}

Recorded investigation findings

The agent's reported hypotheses and assessments, retained as evidence of its process—not independent proof that the answer is correct. Failed calls retain their requested verdict, not an accepted assessment.

run_trial · failed

Does a global strict country-contains-earthquake join, followed by an ISO_A3 to Country Code GDP join, produce the correct qualifying-country set and the unweighted 2020 GDP per capita mean with missing GDP handled separately?

run_trial · completed

Does a global strict country-contains-earthquake join, followed by an ISO_A3 to Country Code GDP join, produce the correct qualifying-country set and the unweighted 2020 GDP per capita mean with missing GDP handled separately?

assess_trial · completed · assessment: sufficient

The full-scope trial answered the method question. A strict vector-spatial-join with predicate contains and aggregate mode produced 45 qualifying country rows from the supplied 251-country boundary file and 9,176 supplied earthquake points. The ISO_A3 to Country Code attribute join matched all 45 qualifying countries to WDI GDP rows, and the selected contributing-country artifact has 45 records with 2020 GDP present for every record. The summary row reports qualifying_country_count=45, known_gdp_count=45, and mean_gdp_per_capita_2020=11865.506089717981.

assess_result · failed · requested assessment: sufficient

I used the supplied earthquake snapshot exactly as provided, joining all 9,176 point records to the supplied original country polygons with a strict contains predicate so only countries with at least one interior event qualified. That produced 45 qualifying countries. I then joined WDI GDP per capita by ISO_A3 to Country Code, and all 45 qualifying countries matched a non-null NY.GDP.PCAP.CD 2020 value. The selected contributing-country artifact retains original geometry and benchmark_row_id, and the unweighted mean across the 45 contributing countries is 11865.506089717981 current US dollars per person.

assess_result · failed · requested assessment: sufficient

Using the supplied earthquake snapshot exactly as provided, a strict contains join from original country polygons to earthquake points produced 45 qualifying countries. Joining WDI GDP per capita by ISO_A3 to Country Code matched all 45 qualifying countries to a non-null NY.GDP.PCAP.CD 2020 value. The selected contributing-country artifact retains geometry and benchmark_row_id, and the unweighted mean 2020 GDP per capita across the 45 contributing countries is 11865.506089717981 current US dollars per person.

assess_result · failed · requested assessment: sufficient

Using the supplied USGS earthquake snapshot exactly as provided, the workflow joined all 9,176 earthquake points to the supplied GeoBenchX harmonized World Bank country polygons with a strict contains predicate on original geometries. That produced 45 qualifying countries. The workflow then joined frozen WDI GDP per capita values by ISO_A3 to Country Code, matching all 45 qualifying countries with no unmatched join rows. The final workflow-produced contributing-country artifact retains geometry and benchmark_row_id, and its current 2020 statistics show count 45, nullCount 0, and mean 11865.506089717977. That is the unweighted average 2020 GDP per capita in current US dollars for the qualifying countries.

assess_result · completed · assessment: sufficient

Using the supplied USGS earthquake snapshot exactly as provided, the workflow joined all 9,176 earthquake points to the supplied GeoBenchX harmonized World Bank country polygons with a strict contains predicate on original geometries. That produced 45 qualifying countries. The workflow then joined frozen WDI GDP per capita values by ISO_A3 to Country Code, matching all 45 qualifying countries with no unmatched join rows. The final workflow-produced contributing-country artifact retains geometry and benchmark_row_id, and its current 2020 statistics show count 45, nullCount 0, and mean 11865.506089717977. That is the unweighted average 2020 GDP per capita in current US dollars for the qualifying countries.

Recorded workflow

  1. 01

    World Bank country boundaries

    Recorded source · succeeded

  2. 02

    Contributing countries with known GDP

    Recorded vector-filter · succeeded

  3. 03

    Contributing countries with 2020 GDP

    Recorded output · succeeded

  4. 04

    GDP per capita table

    Recorded source · succeeded

  5. 05

    GDP summary

    Recorded table-group-statistics · skipped

  6. 06

    Earthquake snapshot

    Recorded source · succeeded

  7. 07

    Qualifying countries

    Recorded vector-spatial-join · succeeded

  8. 08

    Join 2020 GDP

    Recorded table-attribute-join · succeeded

  9. 09

    World Bank country boundaries

    Recorded source · succeeded

  10. 10

    Contributing countries with known GDP

    Recorded vector-filter · succeeded

  11. 11

    GDP per capita table

    Recorded source · succeeded

  12. 12

    GDP summary

    Recorded table-group-statistics · succeeded

  13. 13

    Earthquake snapshot

    Recorded source · succeeded

  14. 14

    Qualifying countries

    Recorded vector-spatial-join · succeeded

  15. 15

    Join 2020 GDP

    Recorded table-attribute-join · succeeded

  16. 16

    Qualifying countries

    Recorded output · succeeded

  17. 17

    Contributing countries with known GDP

    Recorded output · succeeded

  18. 18

    GDP summary

    Recorded output · succeeded

Activity

Recorded actions

Recorded observable actions only, not private reasoning. Raw payloads, geometry, private links and credentials are omitted; full evidence is retained privately. Activity/workflow lists bounded at 500 entries.

  1. Progress update

    I’ll identify the supplied files, confirm their fields and geometry, then test a small join so I can build the country list and the 2020 GDP mean correctly.

  2. get_analysis

    Recorded tool call · completed

  3. Progress update

    I’ve recovered the context and there is no saved analysis yet. Next I’m setting the goal and checking the supplied boundary, earthquake, and GDP files so I can use their exact field names.

  4. update_analysis_brief

    Recorded tool call · completed

  5. get_collection

    Recorded tool call · completed

  6. get_collection

    Recorded tool call · completed

  7. get_collection

    Recorded tool call · completed

  8. get_item

    Recorded tool call · completed

  9. get_item

    Recorded tool call · completed

  10. get_item

    Recorded tool call · completed

  11. Progress update

    I found the three exact supplied inputs and confirmed they are managed parquet assets. Next I’m inspecting their item-level profiles so I can use the real boundary code field, GDP field, and row ID field instead of guessing.

  12. Progress update

    I confirmed the key fields: country `ISO_A3`, GDP `Country Code` and `2020`, plus `benchmark_row_id` in both supplied files. Next I’m picking the exact join and summary processors and testing the containment rule on a small private run.

  13. list_processors

    Recorded tool call · completed

  14. describe_processors

    Recorded tool call · completed

  15. describe_processors

    Recorded tool call · completed

  16. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  17. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  18. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  19. Progress update

    I’ve selected the method: country polygons as targets, earthquake points as join records, predicate `contains`, aggregate by country, then join GDP by `ISO_A3`=`Country Code`, filter to non-null 2020 GDP for the contributing-country artifact, and summarize the mean from the unfiltered qualifying set. I’m running that exact combined test now so I can inspect both the country list and the summary before saving the final workflow.

  20. run_trial

    Recorded tool call · failed

  21. update_analysis_brief

    Recorded tool call · completed

  22. run_trial

    Recorded tool call · completed

  23. Progress update

    The private test finished successfully. It found 45 qualifying countries, all 45 also have a non-null 2020 GDP value, and the trial mean is about 11,865.51 current US dollars per person. I’m doing the final checks on the selected country artifact now, then I’ll record the result against the inspected output.

  24. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  25. Progress update

    I have the exact output counts already, and there are no missing GDP values among the 45 qualifying countries. I’m now inspecting the selected country artifact itself so the final answer points to the exact output with the GDP field, country code, row ID, and geometry.

  26. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  27. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  28. get_trial_report

    Recorded tool call · completed

  29. Progress update

    I’m finishing the verification on the exact final artifact and summary row now. After that I’ll record the accepted result with the selected output, including the country count, missing-GDP count, and mean.

  30. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  31. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  32. get_trial_report

    Recorded tool call · completed

  33. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  34. inspect_workflow_results

    Recorded tool call · completed

  35. assess_trial

    Recorded tool call · completed

  36. update_analysis_brief

    Recorded tool call · completed

  37. assess_result

    Recorded tool call · failed

  38. Progress update

    I’ve got the exact result and just need to record it with Blue using the required condition wording. Then I’ll give you the short answer in plain language.

  39. assess_result

    Recorded tool call · failed

  40. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  41. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  42. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  43. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  44. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  45. get_tool_help

    Recorded tool call · completed

  46. Progress update

    The private trial answered the question, but Blue requires the final selected artifact to come from a verified workflow output, not from the private trial itself. I’m saving the tested method as a small workflow now, then I’ll run it and attach the final answer to that public output.

  47. propose_workflow

    Recorded tool call · failed

  48. Progress update

    I found a bookkeeping issue in the saved draft: the GDP summary node was not on the final artifact’s output path. I’m correcting that reference and saving the tested workflow again.

  49. propose_workflow

    Recorded tool call · completed

  50. execute_workflow

    Recorded tool call · completed

  51. Progress update

    I’ve saved the tested workflow. It is ready and matches the full-scope trial, so I’m running that exact workflow now to get a valid final output artifact for the answer.

  52. Progress update

    The saved workflow finished. I’m inspecting its final output now so I can attach the answer to the workflow-produced country artifact instead of the private trial copy.

  53. inspect_workflow_results

    Recorded tool call · completed

  54. Progress update

    I have the workflow-produced final artifact. I’m doing one last inspection on that exact output so I can record the accepted result against it and finish cleanly.

  55. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  56. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  57. Progress update

    The workflow output inspection finished in the background. I’m fetching the immutable receipt for that exact country artifact now, then I can record the accepted answer.

  58. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  59. inspect_artifact

    Recorded tool call · completed

  60. Progress update

    I have the exact workflow-produced artifact and its inspected statistics now. I’m recording the accepted result against that output and then I’ll give you the short answer.

  61. assess_result

    Recorded tool call · failed

  62. Progress update

    Blue needs the acceptance conditions listed exactly, without the extra checks I added. I’m correcting that now against the same inspected workflow output.

  63. assess_result

    Recorded tool call · completed

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